What is Skepsis?
What is Skepsis?
A continuous-outcome prediction market. You price the range a number lands in, not a yes or no. A tighter range pays more, because it is harder to hit.
What chain is it on?
What chain is it on?
Arbitrum Sepolia. Trading uses test USDC. No real funds. Mainnet contracts exist; they are not deployed.
How do I sign in?
How do I sign in?
With email or Google. A wallet is created for you, or connect your own. See the quick start.
How are payouts calculated?
How are payouts calculated?
Payoff scales with precision. At a uniform prior, payoff = N / k for k of N buckets, so a 1-bucket pick on a 10-bucket market pays 10x. The live number is shown before you confirm.
Can I sell before a market resolves?
Can I sell before a market resolves?
Yes. Close a position at the current price any time before resolution.
How do markets resolve?
How do markets resolve?
From a named Chainlink feed at a set time. Numerical and mechanical. See trust and resolution.
Where does liquidity come from?
Where does liquidity come from?
One ERC-4626 vault seeds every market and recycles capital on resolution. See the vault.
Is it protected from manipulation near resolution?
Is it protected from manipulation near resolution?
Alpha decay thins the book as a market nears resolution, defending liquidity providers against late-information traders. See alpha decay.
How do I get access?
How do I get access?
Private beta, access in waves. Enter your code in the app, or request access at skepsis.live.
Is it safe?
Is it safe?
Admins never DM first and never ask for your seed phrase or private keys. This is testnet; do not use real funds.