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These are mechanics, not advice. Markets carry real risk.

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Precision

Take the tightest band you can defend. Highest payoff, lowest hit rate. Best when you have a specific level in mind and the crowd is spread out.

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Spread

Take a wider band across several buckets. Lower payoff, higher hit rate. Best when you have a direction and a rough zone but not an exact level.

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Early conviction

Trade before the crowd converges. Early, the distribution is flat and your band is cheaper, so the same outcome pays more. Alpha decay also makes early trades lower-impact. See alpha decay.

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Close early

You do not have to hold to resolution. If the curve moves your way, close the position at the better price and lock the move. See placing a trade.