Price Prediction Markets 📈
What They Are
Markets that resolve based on the price of an asset at a specific time.Examples
- BTC/USD price in 1 hour
- ETH/USD price at midnight UTC
- Gold price on Friday close
- AAPL stock at market close
Characteristics
| Property | Typical Value |
|---|---|
| Duration | Minutes to days |
| Resolution | Price feed (oracle) |
| Volatility | High (prices move fast) |
| Range | ±5-20% from current |
Best For
- Short-term traders
- Those with market views
- Hedging crypto positions
Tips
- 1-hour markets are good for learning — fast feedback loops
- Watch for scheduled events (Fed meetings, earnings) that move prices
- Wider ranges for volatile assets, narrower for stable ones
Date Prediction Markets 📅
What They Are
Markets that resolve based on when an event occurs.Examples
- GPT-5 release date
- GTA 6 launch date
- Next iPhone announcement
- SpaceX Starship orbital launch
Characteristics
| Property | Typical Value |
|---|---|
| Duration | Weeks to months |
| Resolution | Official announcement |
| Volatility | Medium (news-driven) |
| Range | Weeks/months |
Best For
- Tech/gaming enthusiasts
- Those who follow industry news
- Long-term speculators
Tips
- Follow credible leakers — they often have real information
- Companies have release patterns — study historical timing
- Round dates (Jan 1, Q1) are often overpriced due to anchoring bias
Measurement Markets 🌡️
What They Are
Markets that resolve based on a measured quantity.Examples
- Tomorrow’s high temperature in NYC
- Rainfall this week in Seattle
- Super Bowl final score
- Box office opening weekend
Characteristics
| Property | Typical Value |
|---|---|
| Duration | Hours to weeks |
| Resolution | Official measurement |
| Volatility | Low to medium |
| Range | Historical typical range |
Best For
- Weather enthusiasts
- Sports fans
- Local experts
Tips
- Historical data is your friend — check past measurements
- Weather services disagree — multiple forecasts can show opportunity
- Local knowledge beats models sometimes
Market Type Comparison
| Type | Example | Duration | Skill Required | Fun Factor |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | BTC 1hr | Short | Trading analysis | ⚡ Fast action |
| Date | GPT-5 launch | Long | Industry knowledge | 🎯 Big payouts |
| Measurement | NYC temp | Medium | Domain expertise | 🧠 Use your knowledge |
How Resolution Works by Type
Price Markets
Date Markets
Measurement Markets
Choosing Your Market
Based on Your Strengths
| If You’re Good At… | Try These Markets |
|---|---|
| Technical analysis | Price markets |
| Industry research | Date markets |
| Local/domain knowledge | Measurement markets |
| Quick decisions | Short-duration price |
| Patient analysis | Long-duration date |
Based on Your Goals
| Goal | Recommended Market |
|---|---|
| Learn the platform | 1-hour price markets |
| Big potential payouts | Date markets (tail bets) |
| Consistent small wins | Wide-range price markets |
| Use specific expertise | Relevant measurement market |
Coming Soon 🚧
We’re working on new market types:Conditional Markets
“If [Event A], what will [Outcome B] be?”Start Trading
Each market type offers different opportunities. Find one that matches your knowledge edge.Browse all markets: Launch Skepsis →
Related
| Strategies | Different strategies for different market types | Strategies |
| Example Markets | See each market type in action | examples |