Binary: one line
A binary market splits a numerical outcome at a single strike: above or below. It prices direction. It cannot say how much, and it pays the same whether the number lands a tick past the strike or far beyond it.Continuous: the whole curve
Skepsis prices the entire distribution as buckets on one curve. It prices magnitude. Payoff scales with precision: a tighter range is harder to hit, so it pays more. At a uniform prior, payoff = N / k for k of N buckets.Binary pays a step. Skepsis pays a continuous curve.